No Kentucky
W-L: (20-14) PR = 95.2722Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A UCCLE **-69 1108 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 56-95 1112 H Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 63-75 1116 A CUMBK **-73 1120 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 90-66 1124 A Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 82-71 1126 A Wofford SO W (19-13, 95.0) 93-83 1129 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 74-65 1203 A Cleveland St HL (11-22, 94.3) 95-80 1206 H PFW HL (16-16, 95.2) 77-79 1209 A BRESC 92-53 1213 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 80-76 1217 H Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 77-82 1221 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 74-85 1229 A Robert Morris HL (22-11, 95.8) 79-77 101 A IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) 81-72 104 A Youngstown St HL (15-17, 94.8) 94-79 109 A WI-Milw HL (12-20, 94.6) 85-67 111 H Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 78-80 115 A Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) 96-71 117 H Robert Morris HL (22-11, 95.8) 89-92 124 H Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 80-88 130 H Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) 77-90 201 H Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 65-76 204 H Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 84-87 207 A WI-Milw HL (12-20, 94.6) 67-62 212 A IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) 84-81 218 A PFW HL (16-16, 95.2) 87-71 222 H Youngstown St HL (15-17, 94.8) 58-64 225 A Cleveland St HL (11-22, 94.3) 81-70 228 H Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 91-92 304 A Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 85-84 308 A Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 96-76 309 H Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 90-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Tennessee 56-95 -39 -3 0.00
1112 H Ea Tenn St 63-75 -12 0 -1.84
1120 A Ce Michigan 90-66 24 1 1.22
1124 A Ea Kentucky 82-71 11 1 0.93
1126 A Wofford 93-83 10 0 1.75
1129 A Boston Univ 74-65 9 1 1.03
1203 A Cleveland St 95-80 15 1 1.05
1206 H PFW 77-79 -2 0 - -2.12
1213 A Bellarmine 80-76 4 1 1.17
1217 H Oakland 77-82 -5 0 -1.92
1221 H Charlotte 74-85 -11 -1 -1.38
1229 A Robert Morris 79-77 2 -1 + 2.55
101 A IUI 81-72 9 2 0.28
104 A Youngstown St 94-79 15 0 1.51
109 A WI-Milw 85-67 18 1 1.33
111 H Green Bay 78-80 -2 0 -1.95
115 A Detroit 96-71 25 0 1.94
117 H Robert Morris 89-92 -3 -1 -1.47
124 H Wright St 80-88 -8 -1 -1.45
130 H Detroit 77-90 -13 0 - -2.08
201 H Oakland 65-76 -11 0 -1.92
204 H Green Bay 84-87 -3 0 -1.95
207 A WI-Milw 67-62 5 1 1.33
212 A IUI 84-81 3 2 0.28
218 A PFW 87-71 16 0 1.90
222 H Youngstown St 58-64 -6 1 - -2.51
225 A Cleveland St 81-70 11 1 1.05
228 H Wright St 91-92 -1 -1 -0.45
304 A Oakland 85-84 1 0 1.10
308 A Green Bay 96-76 20 0 + 2.07
309 H Wright St 90-** -13 -1 -1.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 H PFW 77-79 -2 0 - -2.12 130 H Detroit 77-90 -13 0 - -2.08 222 H Youngstown St 58-64 -6 1 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1229 A Robert Morris 79-77 2 -1 + 2.55 308 A Green Bay 96-76 20 0 + 2.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 56-95 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 1.06 -0.85
3 H Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 63-75 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.06 -2.38
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 90-66 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.06 4.40
3 A Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 82-71 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.06 3.79
3 A Wofford (19-13, 95.0) 93-83 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.06 5.54
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 74-65 -5.61 1.87 0.01 1.06 4.00
3 A Cleveland St (11-22, 94.3) 95-80 -5.59 1.89 0.01 1.06 4.05
3 H PFW (16-16, 95.2) 77-79 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.06 -2.53
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 80-76 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.06 4.30
3 H Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 77-82 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.06 -2.42
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 74-85 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.06 -2.13
3 A Robert Morris (22-11, 95.8) 79-77 -4.08 3.39 0.01 1.06 7.24
3 A IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) 81-72 -6.36 1.11 0.01 1.06 2.39
3 A Youngstown St (15-17, 94.8) 94-79 -5.13 2.34 0.01 1.06 5.01
3 A WI-Milw (12-20, 94.6) 85-67 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.06 4.64
3 H Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 78-80 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.06 -2.44
3 A Detroit (17-15, 95.2) 96-71 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.06 5.93
3 H Robert Morris (22-11, 95.8) 89-92 -4.08 3.39 -0.01 1.06 -2.18
3 H Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 80-88 -4.07 3.41 -0.01 1.06 -2.17
3 H Detroit (17-15, 95.2) 77-90 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.06 -2.51
3 H Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 65-76 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.06 -2.42
3 H Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 84-87 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.06 -2.44
3 A WI-Milw (12-20, 94.6) 67-62 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.06 4.64
3 A IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) 84-81 -6.36 1.11 0.01 1.06 2.39
3 A PFW (16-16, 95.2) 87-71 -4.74 2.74 0.01 1.06 5.85
3 H Youngstown St (15-17, 94.8) 58-64 -5.13 2.34 -0.01 1.06 -2.74
3 A Cleveland St (11-22, 94.3) 81-70 -5.59 1.89 0.01 1.06 4.05
3 H Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 91-92 -4.07 3.41 -0.01 1.06 -2.17
3 A Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 85-84 -4.53 2.94 0.01 1.06 6.29
3 A Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 96-76 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.06 6.22
3 H Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 90-** -4.07 3.41 -0.01 1.06 -2.17
------
49.19
|
winning pts = 80.7356 losing points = -31.5440
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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